tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34135100.post2730238251604220091..comments2024-01-21T02:42:13.447-05:00Comments on Middle East Reality: Segments of Nasrallah's speech regarding the Special Tribunal indictmentsArnold Evanshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11445744338502151561noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34135100.post-16307157522272347342011-07-05T23:49:25.416-04:002011-07-05T23:49:25.416-04:00Yeah, nobody, even or especially the US wants a ci...Yeah, nobody, even or especially the US wants a civil war against any significant group of Shia in Iraq.<br /><br />This is a show. The US does have guns on the ground in Iraq, but a decreasing number that are decreasingly relevant to the political situation.<br /><br />The US has more guns on the ground than Sadr, but wouldn't want to use them because the US doesn't want to go back to something worse than 2005/2006.Arnold Evanshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11445744338502151561noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34135100.post-23713918435028722182011-07-05T22:03:31.249-04:002011-07-05T22:03:31.249-04:00Hi Iman,
I'm not Arnold, but here is my guess...Hi Iman,<br /><br />I'm not Arnold, but here is my guess. The Iraqi government will go through the motions to impress the US until it no longer needs to. I do not think Maliki could survive a real civil war against Sadr and his followers.<br /><br />But a fake confrontation would allow the US to withdraw with the face saving facade that Maliki is keeping "the Iranians" in check.<br /><br />At least that is what I believe. Time will tell.Lysandernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34135100.post-46343721965076505732011-07-05T19:19:49.236-04:002011-07-05T19:19:49.236-04:00Hey Arnold,
this isn't about lebanon, but I w...Hey Arnold,<br /><br />this isn't about lebanon, but I wanted to ask you what you think of the recent reports that iraqi forces have launched a "crackdown" on militias supported by Iran in the south of IraqImannoreply@blogger.com